It is still early and Vlad could right the ship, but the first sixteen games have not been kind. Currently he finds himself better than George Brett (1993, -0.4 WAR) and Cecil Cooper (1987, -0.6 WAR) which places him as the 24th best DH out of 26.
20 April 2011
Vladimir Guerrero is Going Backwards
Vladimir Guerrero has played for a tenth of the season so far. Earlier I covered how well designated hitters have played when they were 36 and over years of age. Vlad has not done well so far and sits at -0.3 WAR before the game on April 20th.
It is still early and Vlad could right the ship, but the first sixteen games have not been kind. Currently he finds himself better than George Brett (1993, -0.4 WAR) and Cecil Cooper (1987, -0.6 WAR) which places him as the 24th best DH out of 26.
It is still early and Vlad could right the ship, but the first sixteen games have not been kind. Currently he finds himself better than George Brett (1993, -0.4 WAR) and Cecil Cooper (1987, -0.6 WAR) which places him as the 24th best DH out of 26.
18 April 2011
Predicted Wins and Playoff Probability: Week 3
Quick post tonight . . . before tonight's game, the team sat at 4.2% playoff chance with PECOTA's predictions and 1.0% with the Depot's predictions.
Here is the projected wins by date:
I find it somewhat remarkable how similar the different lines are. So far, the Depot model has had the least elasticity while the Pythagorean, as expected, has the most. Hopefully, next week finds the team in better shape.
Here is the projected wins by date:
I find it somewhat remarkable how similar the different lines are. So far, the Depot model has had the least elasticity while the Pythagorean, as expected, has the most. Hopefully, next week finds the team in better shape.
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